Race 3A

saisa-sp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Geoffrey Nelson 26.5% 23.0% 18.6% 12.4% 9.5% 4.4% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Giancarlo Falconi 5.6% 7.1% 8.5% 10.7% 9.8% 10.7% 11.2% 13.2% 10.3% 7.8% 4.2% 0.9%
Dean Nixon 7.3% 6.3% 8.5% 9.3% 9.5% 11.8% 13.4% 11.3% 10.2% 7.0% 4.3% 1.1%
Jack Famiglietti 15.4% 16.9% 15.5% 15.0% 12.3% 9.9% 6.5% 4.7% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Sophie Salomon 6.4% 5.7% 7.0% 8.1% 10.5% 11.7% 11.7% 10.7% 11.8% 9.2% 4.9% 2.3%
Benjamin Tino 2.8% 3.8% 4.5% 6.3% 4.8% 8.6% 9.6% 10.2% 13.5% 14.8% 14.3% 6.8%
Kameron Boike 3.6% 4.5% 4.4% 4.9% 7.8% 7.7% 10.9% 9.1% 12.3% 14.2% 14.4% 6.2%
Samuel Normington 21.1% 18.4% 15.6% 12.2% 11.7% 9.5% 5.3% 3.5% 1.4% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Sara Simon 5.7% 7.3% 10.5% 10.8% 12.9% 10.6% 11.8% 11.4% 8.8% 6.4% 3.7% 0.1%
Victoria Caba 2.6% 2.8% 3.1% 3.5% 4.3% 6.4% 6.3% 9.7% 11.3% 14.2% 22.1% 13.7%
Nelson Millett 2.6% 2.8% 3.1% 5.5% 4.6% 6.8% 7.9% 11.5% 13.7% 15.7% 16.0% 9.8%
Jeroen Poelstra 0.4% 1.4% 0.7% 1.3% 2.3% 1.9% 1.8% 3.3% 3.9% 8.8% 15.1% 59.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.