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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.08+1.65vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.36+0.25vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.22+0.85vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.72+0.59vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.57-1.60vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.71-0.11vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.01-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.65Stanford University3.080.3%1st Place
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2.25University of Hawaii3.360.4%1st Place
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3.85University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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4.59University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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3.4University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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5.89California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
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5.38University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Richartz | 27.4% | 25.1% | 20.2% | 14.0% | 9.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 37.2% | 26.6% | 19.3% | 10.5% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Ashley Hobson | 9.7% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 22.4% | 18.6% | 12.7% | 4.8% |
| Carmen Bozina | 6.0% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 23.6% | 22.4% | 12.1% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 13.8% | 18.6% | 20.9% | 21.1% | 15.0% | 7.7% | 2.9% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 6.9% | 12.6% | 24.0% | 48.2% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 16.4% | 28.3% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.