Race 5A

saisa-sp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Geoffrey Nelson 27.6% 23.8% 18.2% 11.3% 8.4% 4.8% 3.6% 1.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Samuel Normington 18.6% 18.0% 16.9% 15.3% 9.9% 9.3% 6.6% 3.4% 1.1% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Famiglietti 17.7% 15.9% 16.1% 12.1% 13.8% 11.1% 6.3% 3.9% 1.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Dean Nixon 4.7% 7.3% 8.3% 9.9% 10.4% 11.7% 12.9% 11.4% 9.5% 7.6% 4.9% 1.4%
Giancarlo Falconi 7.0% 6.3% 8.1% 9.9% 10.8% 11.7% 11.3% 10.5% 11.1% 6.4% 5.5% 1.4%
Benjamin Tino 3.1% 3.9% 4.2% 5.9% 5.6% 7.7% 9.0% 11.4% 13.0% 16.1% 13.0% 7.1%
Sophie Salomon 6.0% 7.1% 6.4% 10.3% 10.4% 9.2% 12.1% 12.0% 11.3% 8.1% 4.8% 2.3%
Kameron Boike 3.6% 4.0% 4.8% 5.0% 7.2% 7.1% 8.6% 11.9% 13.9% 15.3% 12.5% 6.1%
Sara Simon 6.3% 7.1% 9.1% 11.4% 11.7% 12.3% 11.7% 11.0% 9.4% 6.4% 3.2% 0.4%
Victoria Caba 2.2% 3.1% 3.7% 3.1% 3.8% 6.2% 7.1% 9.0% 10.9% 14.6% 22.6% 13.7%
Nelson Millett 2.6% 2.7% 3.5% 4.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.3% 11.2% 12.8% 15.8% 16.7% 9.4%
Jeroen Poelstra 0.6% 0.8% 0.7% 1.8% 2.0% 1.9% 2.5% 2.8% 4.6% 7.5% 16.6% 58.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.