Race 6A

saisa-sp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Geoffrey Nelson 27.8% 20.4% 18.8% 15.0% 8.3% 5.0% 2.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Sophie Salomon 5.4% 5.9% 7.6% 9.0% 10.1% 11.0% 12.4% 11.0% 11.5% 9.0% 5.6% 1.5%
Giancarlo Falconi 7.3% 6.2% 8.4% 9.9% 9.2% 11.3% 12.2% 12.0% 10.8% 8.0% 3.7% 1.0%
Jack Famiglietti 14.7% 19.4% 14.6% 14.6% 13.2% 8.3% 7.6% 4.1% 2.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Samuel Normington 20.0% 18.5% 16.2% 13.9% 10.7% 8.3% 5.3% 3.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Dean Nixon 6.1% 7.7% 9.6% 7.5% 9.4% 12.6% 12.9% 12.1% 8.9% 7.8% 4.1% 1.3%
Sara Simon 7.5% 7.8% 8.5% 9.9% 12.1% 11.4% 9.7% 11.9% 8.4% 7.0% 4.2% 1.6%
Benjamin Tino 3.1% 4.0% 4.3% 5.7% 7.2% 7.5% 10.2% 10.3% 13.0% 14.5% 13.8% 6.4%
Kameron Boike 2.7% 3.1% 4.8% 5.0% 7.9% 9.8% 8.9% 10.9% 14.8% 13.7% 13.5% 4.9%
Nelson Millett 2.9% 3.8% 4.0% 5.2% 5.4% 7.0% 8.7% 10.4% 12.9% 16.2% 15.0% 8.5%
Victoria Caba 2.2% 1.9% 2.3% 2.8% 5.0% 5.8% 6.9% 9.1% 10.2% 15.4% 23.2% 15.2%
Jeroen Poelstra 0.3% 1.3% 0.9% 1.5% 1.5% 2.0% 3.1% 2.6% 4.8% 6.3% 16.2% 59.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.