Race 1B

saisa-sp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Bradford Cederberg 9.6% 13.8% 12.1% 13.5% 13.7% 12.0% 10.5% 7.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.4%
Samuel Armington 22.1% 17.9% 16.7% 13.4% 10.8% 8.3% 6.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Matthew Peterson 9.7% 9.5% 10.4% 10.9% 13.0% 13.2% 11.7% 10.9% 6.1% 3.7% 0.9%
Maria Ayala 2.8% 4.7% 3.8% 5.9% 6.0% 7.6% 13.2% 12.9% 17.7% 14.8% 10.6%
Natalie Butler 4.5% 4.5% 5.2% 8.3% 6.2% 10.1% 10.3% 13.6% 14.2% 13.8% 9.3%
Michael Sanandajian 20.1% 19.8% 15.8% 15.2% 10.7% 6.7% 6.0% 3.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Delaney Caron 2.8% 2.7% 3.0% 2.5% 3.5% 5.4% 7.3% 10.9% 15.0% 19.5% 27.4%
Toby Perelmuter 3.0% 3.1% 3.3% 4.6% 6.4% 7.6% 9.9% 11.1% 17.9% 16.9% 16.2%
Kyle Magno 11.2% 11.6% 13.4% 12.3% 13.2% 11.5% 10.1% 8.3% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9%
Hana Zwick 12.8% 11.0% 13.5% 10.4% 13.7% 12.6% 9.5% 7.8% 5.9% 2.4% 0.4%
Jonathan Rudich 1.4% 1.4% 2.8% 3.0% 2.8% 5.0% 5.4% 9.3% 11.6% 23.5% 33.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.