Race 2B

saisa-sp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Maria Ayala 3.1% 3.2% 3.9% 6.7% 6.8% 8.4% 12.1% 15.5% 17.4% 14.9% 8.0%
Samuel Armington 21.0% 19.3% 17.1% 12.2% 11.5% 8.3% 6.7% 2.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 18.4% 18.0% 17.3% 14.5% 11.9% 8.4% 6.6% 3.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Bradford Cederberg 11.3% 11.5% 11.7% 11.3% 15.3% 12.0% 11.0% 7.2% 6.1% 1.9% 0.7%
Kyle Magno 12.0% 12.9% 12.2% 12.3% 11.8% 12.4% 10.2% 8.5% 4.8% 2.5% 0.4%
Natalie Butler 3.9% 4.2% 6.3% 5.8% 6.6% 9.4% 12.0% 13.7% 15.5% 14.0% 8.6%
Matthew Peterson 11.7% 11.2% 11.4% 13.1% 11.6% 13.7% 10.3% 8.5% 5.1% 2.8% 0.6%
Hana Zwick 12.1% 11.9% 12.7% 13.4% 11.8% 11.2% 9.5% 9.6% 5.6% 1.9% 0.3%
Delaney Caron 2.0% 2.7% 2.5% 2.9% 3.7% 4.3% 5.9% 10.4% 13.2% 21.7% 30.7%
Toby Perelmuter 3.2% 3.5% 2.9% 4.7% 5.6% 7.4% 9.8% 11.5% 17.6% 19.3% 14.5%
Jonathan Rudich 1.3% 1.6% 2.0% 3.1% 3.4% 4.5% 5.9% 8.5% 13.1% 20.4% 36.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.