Race 3B

saisa-sp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Maria Ayala 3.1% 3.4% 5.3% 4.8% 7.1% 8.3% 11.6% 15.3% 17.4% 15.6% 8.1%
Bradford Cederberg 11.8% 13.0% 11.8% 14.7% 11.9% 11.4% 10.5% 8.1% 4.7% 1.4% 0.7%
Samuel Armington 18.3% 18.3% 18.1% 11.6% 13.5% 8.4% 6.6% 3.5% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Michael Sanandajian 20.2% 18.9% 16.0% 14.4% 12.3% 7.8% 5.7% 2.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Matthew Peterson 10.7% 11.2% 11.5% 11.8% 10.3% 11.7% 12.5% 9.1% 7.4% 3.2% 0.6%
Kyle Magno 12.7% 12.0% 11.8% 12.7% 12.2% 12.5% 10.3% 6.4% 6.9% 2.0% 0.5%
Hana Zwick 12.4% 12.2% 13.4% 12.0% 12.8% 11.9% 9.0% 7.9% 5.8% 1.9% 0.7%
Toby Perelmuter 2.9% 3.1% 3.1% 4.9% 5.9% 8.8% 9.5% 13.3% 14.0% 17.9% 16.6%
Natalie Butler 4.4% 4.6% 3.8% 6.5% 6.6% 9.5% 12.0% 15.0% 16.0% 13.6% 8.0%
Delaney Caron 2.2% 1.8% 2.5% 3.8% 4.3% 5.2% 7.6% 9.5% 12.5% 21.2% 29.4%
Jonathan Rudich 1.3% 1.5% 2.7% 2.8% 3.1% 4.5% 4.7% 9.3% 12.7% 22.1% 35.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.