Race 4B

saisa-sp

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

27.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Samuel Armington 18.5% 19.6% 17.2% 14.1% 12.0% 8.4% 5.9% 2.7% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Maria Ayala 4.1% 3.5% 4.8% 6.5% 6.7% 8.9% 11.7% 14.7% 15.7% 15.3% 8.1%
Matthew Peterson 9.8% 8.6% 12.0% 10.6% 11.8% 13.0% 13.4% 9.5% 6.9% 3.7% 0.7%
Bradford Cederberg 10.4% 13.6% 10.9% 13.1% 12.4% 14.0% 10.7% 7.5% 4.7% 2.3% 0.4%
Michael Sanandajian 22.0% 17.8% 16.1% 14.9% 11.7% 7.3% 4.5% 3.8% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Kyle Magno 11.6% 12.7% 12.5% 12.2% 13.5% 11.0% 9.4% 8.2% 5.5% 2.8% 0.6%
Toby Perelmuter 3.6% 3.8% 3.3% 4.4% 5.8% 7.7% 8.9% 13.1% 15.9% 19.1% 14.4%
Delaney Caron 2.1% 2.2% 2.6% 3.1% 3.3% 6.0% 7.4% 9.5% 14.8% 19.6% 29.4%
Natalie Butler 4.6% 4.5% 4.6% 6.2% 7.4% 7.9% 11.8% 14.4% 16.6% 12.5% 9.5%
Hana Zwick 11.9% 11.6% 14.3% 12.0% 12.0% 11.6% 10.1% 8.3% 5.9% 1.6% 0.7%
Jonathan Rudich 1.4% 2.1% 1.7% 2.9% 3.4% 4.2% 6.2% 8.3% 11.8% 21.9% 36.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.