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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Michael Sanandajian 19.4% 19.5% 16.5% 13.5% 12.3% 9.7% 4.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Bradford Cederberg 12.1% 12.4% 12.4% 14.2% 12.4% 11.3% 10.5% 8.5% 4.2% 1.7% 0.3%
Samuel Armington 18.3% 17.9% 16.9% 14.8% 10.5% 9.5% 6.3% 3.9% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Hana Zwick 10.7% 10.9% 10.4% 12.2% 12.9% 13.2% 12.5% 7.8% 5.8% 2.7% 0.9%
Matthew Peterson 11.4% 10.8% 10.3% 11.7% 13.2% 10.9% 12.6% 9.3% 6.0% 2.9% 0.9%
Delaney Caron 1.6% 2.2% 2.2% 3.4% 4.0% 4.5% 5.3% 9.9% 15.6% 22.0% 29.3%
Natalie Butler 5.3% 4.2% 5.9% 6.2% 6.9% 10.7% 11.9% 13.8% 16.5% 12.0% 6.6%
Kyle Magno 12.6% 12.3% 14.0% 12.0% 12.2% 10.9% 9.6% 9.4% 4.4% 2.4% 0.2%
Toby Perelmuter 3.2% 3.4% 3.3% 3.1% 5.4% 6.5% 9.0% 12.1% 17.3% 19.8% 16.9%
Jonathan Rudich 1.8% 1.3% 2.8% 2.3% 2.3% 4.7% 6.8% 8.0% 12.4% 19.9% 37.7%
Maria Ayala 3.6% 5.1% 5.3% 6.6% 7.9% 8.1% 11.4% 13.9% 14.9% 16.1% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.