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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.08+1.63vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California2.57+1.33vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii3.36-0.71vs Predicted
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4California State University Monterey Bay0.71+1.92vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles1.72-0.39vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.49vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine2.22-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.63Stanford University3.080.3%1st Place
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3.33University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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2.29University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
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5.92California State University Monterey Bay0.710.0%1st Place
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4.61University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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5.51University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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3.71University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eliza Richartz | 27.3% | 25.8% | 20.3% | 13.8% | 9.3% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 14.8% | 18.0% | 22.6% | 20.5% | 14.3% | 7.7% | 2.1% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 34.3% | 28.7% | 19.3% | 11.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Ashley Eberhard | 1.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 12.3% | 23.5% | 48.9% |
| Carmen Bozina | 5.8% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 16.0% | 24.2% | 23.0% | 11.7% |
| Lauren Amery | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 29.6% | 33.1% |
| Ashley Hobson | 13.5% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 20.3% | 12.0% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.