Race 1A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Eric Anderson 11.2% 13.6% 11.4% 10.7% 13.5% 11.3% 9.6% 6.5% 6.0% 3.2% 2.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.1%
Jan Kite-Powell 15.5% 15.1% 13.7% 13.5% 12.1% 10.5% 7.6% 5.9% 4.0% 1.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Moreno 13.2% 11.9% 11.4% 12.9% 10.3% 11.8% 10.6% 8.3% 4.4% 3.9% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Gabriel Elstrodt 19.3% 17.6% 15.2% 14.6% 10.9% 9.1% 6.1% 4.3% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Liam Ballantyne 4.6% 6.5% 7.5% 8.4% 10.4% 7.2% 12.7% 12.0% 11.8% 8.7% 6.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
Matthew Gibbs 12.8% 10.8% 14.0% 12.1% 11.1% 12.5% 8.6% 6.9% 5.9% 2.6% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 9.5% 10.4% 8.7% 10.5% 11.2% 11.5% 10.1% 9.7% 8.7% 5.4% 2.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Bayard Lalor 3.4% 4.2% 5.1% 4.5% 5.8% 6.4% 7.1% 10.1% 12.6% 13.4% 12.1% 10.3% 4.2% 0.8%
Renee Torrie 5.0% 4.1% 6.1% 5.0% 6.5% 9.7% 10.3% 12.8% 12.4% 11.8% 9.4% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5%
Brian Reilly 1.2% 0.9% 1.9% 1.4% 1.0% 2.2% 2.6% 4.2% 7.8% 11.4% 14.3% 18.9% 21.1% 11.1%
Nathaniel Barton 1.3% 2.2% 1.9% 1.3% 2.6% 3.1% 6.2% 7.5% 8.5% 13.4% 16.8% 17.9% 13.2% 4.1%
Lillian Vincens 1.7% 2.0% 1.7% 3.6% 2.6% 3.0% 5.9% 7.3% 10.3% 14.1% 18.3% 15.1% 9.9% 4.5%
Jonathan Baker 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 0.6% 1.6% 2.0% 3.4% 4.4% 10.5% 17.6% 56.8%
Kyle Thomas 0.6% 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 1.2% 2.0% 2.9% 4.0% 6.5% 9.5% 16.7% 31.0% 21.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.