Race 2A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Renee Torrie 4.2% 4.8% 6.3% 7.8% 7.4% 8.0% 9.9% 11.8% 12.8% 11.0% 8.1% 5.4% 1.9% 0.6%
Liam Ballantyne 6.2% 7.9% 8.6% 8.0% 9.0% 8.9% 12.1% 12.3% 11.3% 6.4% 6.0% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Gabriel Elstrodt 22.3% 17.9% 14.0% 12.8% 11.4% 9.2% 5.8% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jan Kite-Powell 13.4% 14.7% 12.1% 15.1% 11.6% 11.4% 8.4% 6.2% 3.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Gibbs 10.3% 13.7% 12.8% 13.4% 11.0% 11.3% 9.2% 7.0% 6.5% 3.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Alex Moreno 11.6% 11.8% 12.7% 12.1% 11.8% 11.3% 9.6% 7.5% 6.1% 3.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 12.8% 13.7% 11.6% 10.5% 12.7% 11.1% 9.4% 8.3% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 9.3% 8.3% 10.7% 8.7% 11.1% 10.3% 11.2% 9.8% 8.7% 7.1% 3.1% 1.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Bayard Lalor 4.3% 2.1% 4.4% 4.3% 4.5% 6.3% 7.2% 11.9% 14.2% 14.5% 13.0% 8.6% 3.9% 0.8%
Lillian Vincens 1.9% 1.3% 2.2% 2.0% 3.1% 4.0% 5.1% 8.1% 9.1% 12.8% 17.7% 16.4% 11.6% 4.7%
Nathaniel Barton 1.5% 1.9% 2.0% 2.1% 2.1% 4.1% 5.7% 6.5% 8.0% 13.9% 16.7% 17.9% 12.9% 4.7%
Brian Reilly 0.9% 1.0% 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 3.7% 6.1% 11.4% 15.8% 20.3% 19.0% 10.9%
Kyle Thomas 1.0% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 1.5% 0.9% 2.2% 2.6% 3.7% 6.8% 9.9% 16.4% 28.9% 23.7%
Jonathan Baker 0.3% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 1.9% 3.5% 5.3% 9.5% 20.5% 54.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.