Race 5A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jan Kite-Powell 14.2% 16.6% 13.3% 12.1% 12.4% 9.1% 8.2% 6.3% 3.7% 2.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Moreno 12.2% 13.5% 13.6% 11.2% 10.5% 12.8% 9.0% 7.4% 5.2% 2.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Liam Ballantyne 6.6% 6.6% 7.4% 7.2% 9.1% 9.6% 10.6% 12.0% 11.6% 8.8% 7.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.2%
Matthew Gibbs 11.4% 13.1% 13.7% 10.6% 12.3% 12.1% 9.8% 6.9% 5.3% 3.2% 0.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Renee Torrie 2.8% 4.9% 5.8% 7.2% 7.5% 7.2% 12.4% 10.8% 11.2% 11.4% 9.3% 7.1% 2.1% 0.3%
Eric Anderson 12.3% 9.3% 11.1% 12.9% 11.7% 10.1% 9.8% 8.9% 7.2% 4.3% 2.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 9.7% 10.2% 7.1% 12.2% 10.7% 11.7% 10.8% 9.0% 8.7% 6.2% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Nathaniel Barton 1.5% 2.2% 3.2% 2.7% 2.7% 4.1% 5.4% 4.7% 9.1% 12.0% 14.6% 16.7% 15.2% 5.9%
Lillian Vincens 2.4% 1.6% 2.3% 2.2% 2.2% 3.7% 4.9% 6.8% 9.6% 13.9% 16.3% 16.8% 13.1% 4.2%
Bayard Lalor 2.9% 3.6% 3.1% 4.2% 5.8% 6.0% 7.6% 13.0% 12.3% 13.2% 14.8% 8.5% 4.1% 0.9%
Nathaniel Douglass 0.6% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 1.2% 1.9% 2.3% 4.6% 6.1% 8.1% 12.1% 19.0% 25.6% 14.7%
Jonathan Baker 0.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.7% 0.4% 0.7% 0.5% 2.3% 1.7% 1.6% 4.6% 7.9% 17.2% 61.7%
Brian Reilly 1.6% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 3.0% 2.9% 4.2% 6.5% 11.1% 12.5% 19.0% 21.7% 12.0%
Gabriel Elstrodt 21.5% 15.8% 16.5% 14.2% 11.9% 8.0% 5.8% 3.1% 1.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.