Race 6A

salt-pond-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Jan Kite-Powell 15.7% 14.0% 13.2% 13.2% 11.2% 10.1% 8.8% 5.6% 4.4% 2.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Gibbs 14.1% 13.9% 12.8% 9.9% 14.0% 11.0% 9.6% 7.0% 3.9% 2.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Renee Torrie 5.3% 5.0% 6.3% 6.8% 6.6% 5.9% 10.6% 11.0% 14.9% 12.1% 8.2% 5.4% 1.5% 0.4%
Liam Ballantyne 4.9% 6.6% 8.2% 8.6% 9.5% 9.6% 11.7% 11.2% 10.8% 7.7% 6.6% 3.3% 1.1% 0.2%
Alex Moreno 10.3% 12.7% 10.9% 14.3% 10.6% 11.8% 9.2% 7.8% 6.5% 3.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Gabriel Elstrodt 19.5% 16.9% 15.7% 12.6% 11.5% 10.0% 5.6% 3.3% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 11.5% 13.8% 11.5% 12.2% 10.3% 12.3% 9.2% 8.8% 5.4% 3.1% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Bayard Lalor 4.1% 3.5% 4.9% 4.8% 5.8% 6.7% 7.2% 9.2% 11.9% 12.3% 12.8% 10.6% 5.1% 1.1%
Peter Christensen 7.9% 8.1% 9.7% 9.8% 11.3% 10.3% 12.0% 10.6% 8.7% 6.6% 2.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 2.0% 2.8% 4.2% 6.2% 9.9% 14.7% 18.4% 22.4% 13.0%
Lillian Vincens 1.6% 2.1% 1.6% 2.1% 2.4% 5.1% 5.2% 8.0% 8.8% 11.9% 16.2% 17.4% 12.5% 5.1%
Nathaniel Douglass 1.0% 0.4% 1.4% 1.7% 2.0% 1.4% 2.9% 4.3% 4.2% 10.5% 13.4% 17.5% 24.8% 14.5%
Nathaniel Barton 2.7% 1.5% 1.8% 2.0% 3.6% 3.0% 4.4% 7.8% 8.2% 13.4% 15.1% 17.1% 15.0% 4.4%
Jonathan Baker 0.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 2.4% 3.2% 5.6% 6.5% 16.6% 61.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.