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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Brown University3.01+1.48vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.45+1.57vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.70+0.14vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.64+4.29vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86+0.26vs Predicted
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7McGill University1.56+0.02vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97-4.58vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.16-3.62vs Predicted
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10Wesleyan University0.55-0.41vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island0.75-1.86vs Predicted
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12Sacred Heart University0.12-1.41vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.42-1.38vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.22-6.22vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.14-2.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.48Brown University3.010.2%1st Place
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4.57Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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4.14University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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9.29Fairfield University0.640.0%1st Place
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6.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.1%1st Place
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7.02McGill University1.560.0%1st Place
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3.42Boston University2.970.2%1st Place
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5.38Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.59Wesleyan University0.550.0%1st Place
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9.14University of Rhode Island0.750.0%1st Place
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10.59Sacred Heart University0.120.0%1st Place
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11.62Maine Maritime Academy-0.420.0%1st Place
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7.78Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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12.73Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 21.9% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 14.6% | 15.9% | 14.6% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lillian Vincens | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 14.8% | 9.8% | 3.3% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Renee Torrie | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 14.1% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 21.9% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Christensen | 8.6% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Barton | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 4.3% |
| Jamws Gieseke | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 3.1% |
| Brian Reilly | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 19.2% | 18.7% | 10.6% |
| Kyle Thomas | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 10.8% | 17.9% | 25.8% | 23.3% |
| Bayard Lalor | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Jonathan Baker | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 19.1% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.