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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California2.57+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii3.36+0.21vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.08-0.50vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.72+0.26vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.22-1.29vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.01-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
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2.21University of Hawaii3.360.4%1st Place
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2.5Stanford University3.080.3%1st Place
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4.26University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
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3.71University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
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5.11University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Rupp | 15.2% | 20.0% | 20.4% | 22.7% | 15.9% | 5.8% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 38.1% | 26.5% | 18.7% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 0.8% |
| Eliza Richartz | 27.5% | 27.7% | 21.3% | 16.4% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Carmen Bozina | 7.2% | 7.8% | 12.8% | 18.9% | 30.8% | 22.5% |
| Ashley Hobson | 9.5% | 14.1% | 19.6% | 22.2% | 21.4% | 13.2% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.5% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 21.2% | 56.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.