Race 9A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Gabriel Elstrodt 21.5% 21.0% 16.4% 10.5% 11.2% 8.2% 5.5% 3.2% 1.3% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Robby Gearon 20.7% 18.5% 17.7% 14.4% 11.4% 7.1% 5.0% 2.9% 0.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jan Kite-Powell 15.6% 15.0% 13.7% 14.4% 12.8% 11.0% 8.6% 4.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 7.2% 10.4% 10.9% 10.9% 12.6% 12.3% 10.4% 10.0% 7.6% 4.3% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Liam Ballantyne 5.0% 7.2% 7.6% 9.6% 10.2% 12.5% 11.0% 11.7% 10.6% 6.6% 5.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.1%
Renee Torrie 5.0% 4.2% 5.3% 7.7% 8.7% 11.2% 11.2% 11.1% 11.3% 9.6% 9.0% 4.1% 1.5% 0.1%
Eric Anderson 12.8% 13.0% 12.8% 14.0% 13.0% 10.3% 10.5% 6.6% 4.1% 1.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Brian Reilly 1.2% 0.9% 2.7% 1.9% 2.8% 3.7% 4.4% 4.6% 7.6% 9.6% 13.3% 17.9% 18.1% 11.3%
Bayard Lalor 3.8% 3.0% 4.1% 5.3% 5.8% 7.4% 9.7% 13.2% 14.2% 13.7% 8.9% 7.5% 2.7% 0.7%
Nathaniel Barton 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 4.4% 6.1% 8.3% 10.2% 12.6% 17.1% 14.4% 11.6% 4.6%
Kyle Thomas 0.5% 0.7% 1.3% 1.0% 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 2.2% 5.0% 7.1% 10.1% 15.6% 27.1% 24.8%
Jamws Gieseke 2.0% 1.7% 2.7% 4.8% 3.1% 5.0% 7.1% 11.1% 11.5% 14.9% 11.5% 13.4% 8.5% 2.7%
Lillian Vincens 2.9% 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 4.1% 4.1% 7.6% 9.3% 10.2% 13.4% 14.4% 14.6% 9.4% 2.9%
Jonathan Baker 0.2% 0.6% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.4% 2.8% 3.3% 6.1% 9.6% 19.9% 52.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.