Race 10A

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Robby Gearon 21.1% 18.5% 16.7% 12.0% 11.7% 9.1% 4.8% 3.4% 1.4% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jan Kite-Powell 16.3% 16.3% 14.2% 12.8% 15.0% 9.3% 6.9% 4.6% 2.5% 1.1% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Eric Anderson 12.8% 10.3% 13.6% 12.9% 11.8% 12.0% 11.3% 7.0% 5.3% 1.8% 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Bayard Lalor 2.5% 4.0% 4.2% 7.0% 6.3% 7.1% 8.4% 12.0% 13.8% 14.3% 9.3% 6.6% 3.4% 1.1%
Gabriel Elstrodt 17.6% 20.1% 17.4% 14.6% 10.6% 8.9% 5.7% 3.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 8.6% 9.4% 9.3% 11.2% 12.1% 12.4% 9.8% 10.5% 8.5% 4.8% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
Renee Torrie 5.5% 6.2% 6.2% 8.8% 8.0% 9.9% 11.1% 13.5% 11.4% 8.6% 6.9% 3.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Liam Ballantyne 7.7% 6.5% 9.3% 8.2% 9.3% 11.1% 12.8% 11.0% 10.0% 6.7% 4.3% 2.3% 0.8% 0.0%
Jonathan Baker 0.3% 0.3% 0.8% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 3.2% 4.2% 9.1% 18.2% 57.3%
Jamws Gieseke 2.1% 2.3% 1.5% 2.6% 4.4% 6.3% 7.1% 8.7% 12.6% 13.0% 14.4% 12.9% 9.5% 2.6%
Nathaniel Barton 1.6% 1.8% 2.0% 2.4% 3.3% 4.8% 5.3% 8.2% 9.9% 13.9% 14.4% 16.5% 11.5% 4.4%
Kyle Thomas 0.5% 0.5% 0.8% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 2.1% 3.8% 4.8% 6.9% 8.8% 17.7% 27.4% 22.5%
Brian Reilly 1.7% 1.5% 1.2% 2.2% 2.2% 2.0% 5.1% 5.0% 6.9% 11.0% 14.6% 18.5% 18.7% 9.4%
Lillian Vincens 1.7% 2.3% 2.8% 3.4% 3.0% 5.0% 8.4% 7.6% 10.3% 13.3% 18.3% 11.9% 9.4% 2.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.