Race 2B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Connor Oursler 11.5% 12.0% 12.8% 11.6% 11.0% 10.4% 10.3% 5.9% 6.1% 4.1% 2.2% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2%
Zachary Vickerson 12.5% 10.9% 12.0% 11.8% 10.7% 11.0% 9.9% 8.2% 6.2% 2.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Benjamin Craig 17.4% 17.3% 14.0% 14.3% 10.8% 9.5% 7.3% 4.5% 2.5% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Marina Cano 12.6% 11.8% 14.8% 10.3% 12.8% 9.9% 9.3% 7.6% 6.0% 2.0% 2.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Sam Rush 14.7% 17.3% 14.1% 14.3% 11.3% 9.2% 7.6% 5.0% 3.1% 2.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Caden Buckley 4.7% 5.2% 4.6% 6.6% 7.6% 7.7% 11.4% 10.5% 9.6% 11.0% 9.5% 6.0% 4.4% 1.2%
Charles Skoda 10.3% 10.3% 9.7% 9.4% 10.4% 11.9% 9.1% 9.2% 9.4% 4.2% 3.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Ryan Carlucci 1.3% 1.2% 2.8% 2.1% 2.8% 3.5% 3.0% 3.5% 5.8% 9.5% 8.6% 15.6% 17.9% 22.4%
Ian Campbell 3.4% 3.1% 3.0% 3.4% 4.0% 5.2% 6.4% 9.2% 11.1% 13.3% 13.6% 10.0% 10.3% 4.0%
Abe Kipnis 1.7% 1.5% 1.3% 2.1% 1.7% 2.7% 4.5% 5.7% 6.1% 8.6% 12.9% 15.0% 19.0% 17.2%
Justin Tedeschi 2.0% 2.2% 1.9% 2.4% 3.9% 4.4% 4.9% 8.0% 7.1% 10.7% 14.4% 13.9% 13.8% 10.4%
Graham Roeber 3.6% 3.8% 4.2% 5.1% 6.7% 7.5% 7.2% 11.3% 11.6% 10.0% 10.0% 11.0% 5.0% 3.0%
Francis Guiton 3.6% 2.5% 3.6% 5.4% 4.9% 4.7% 7.4% 8.7% 10.9% 12.5% 11.9% 11.5% 8.3% 4.1%
Christopher Mannka 0.7% 0.9% 1.2% 1.2% 1.4% 2.4% 1.7% 2.7% 4.5% 7.8% 7.3% 11.7% 19.3% 37.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.