Race 4B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Marina Cano 13.3% 13.8% 13.8% 12.6% 9.3% 11.2% 7.6% 7.6% 4.1% 3.5% 1.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Zachary Vickerson 12.8% 11.1% 11.8% 11.3% 11.9% 10.0% 10.1% 8.3% 5.7% 3.4% 2.2% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Caden Buckley 5.0% 4.9% 6.5% 8.4% 6.0% 7.8% 9.8% 9.3% 12.9% 9.8% 8.2% 7.2% 3.3% 0.9%
Connor Oursler 10.0% 11.4% 13.2% 12.4% 11.4% 10.8% 7.9% 8.2% 6.8% 4.0% 2.1% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Sam Rush 15.0% 17.5% 14.7% 12.9% 11.5% 9.4% 7.0% 6.2% 2.9% 1.4% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Craig 17.2% 15.5% 14.9% 13.5% 12.0% 9.0% 6.4% 6.0% 2.8% 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Justin Tedeschi 2.2% 2.3% 3.7% 3.2% 4.5% 4.2% 6.6% 6.7% 8.1% 10.1% 12.4% 13.2% 13.5% 9.3%
Charles Skoda 10.1% 10.3% 8.0% 9.1% 11.0% 10.1% 11.1% 8.6% 7.1% 6.8% 4.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Ian Campbell 3.3% 3.2% 2.4% 3.4% 4.6% 5.8% 6.3% 8.1% 11.8% 13.1% 12.7% 12.1% 8.9% 4.3%
Abe Kipnis 1.9% 1.6% 1.5% 1.2% 2.1% 2.6% 4.8% 5.2% 7.0% 9.0% 11.8% 14.8% 18.2% 18.3%
Francis Guiton 2.9% 3.0% 2.3% 4.3% 6.0% 6.0% 7.6% 8.1% 9.8% 12.1% 13.4% 10.2% 9.3% 5.0%
Graham Roeber 3.9% 3.3% 4.4% 4.8% 5.7% 8.0% 8.6% 11.8% 10.5% 10.6% 9.7% 9.2% 6.7% 2.8%
Ryan Carlucci 1.7% 1.3% 1.5% 1.9% 2.1% 3.2% 4.0% 3.4% 5.2% 8.5% 10.5% 16.8% 18.7% 21.2%
Christopher Mannka 0.7% 0.8% 1.3% 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 2.2% 2.5% 5.3% 6.1% 8.4% 10.9% 19.2% 37.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.