Race 5B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Benjamin Craig 17.9% 19.3% 15.4% 12.0% 9.4% 8.3% 7.1% 4.3% 3.0% 1.5% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
Sam Rush 18.9% 16.9% 14.2% 12.0% 12.3% 9.5% 6.7% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Zachary Vickerson 11.7% 11.3% 11.3% 9.8% 12.1% 11.4% 9.4% 8.5% 7.3% 3.8% 1.8% 1.0% 0.6% 0.0%
Marina Cano 12.1% 12.3% 14.6% 12.9% 11.2% 10.1% 8.9% 6.3% 5.7% 3.1% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
Connor Oursler 9.5% 10.7% 13.3% 12.2% 11.7% 10.5% 9.9% 7.5% 6.2% 4.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Caden Buckley 4.7% 5.1% 4.8% 6.8% 6.3% 10.3% 10.4% 10.1% 7.9% 11.9% 10.4% 6.3% 3.8% 1.2%
Ryan Carlucci 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 2.4% 2.2% 3.7% 4.5% 5.0% 5.9% 7.6% 10.9% 15.0% 17.6% 20.9%
Ian Campbell 2.8% 4.3% 3.4% 4.2% 5.3% 5.6% 6.8% 8.3% 7.9% 12.7% 10.9% 13.0% 8.7% 6.1%
Francis Guiton 3.7% 2.5% 3.3% 3.9% 5.1% 5.9% 5.5% 9.2% 12.8% 11.8% 12.1% 10.9% 9.8% 3.5%
Abe Kipnis 1.7% 1.9% 1.3% 2.0% 1.5% 2.1% 4.8% 5.9% 7.6% 8.5% 12.3% 13.2% 19.2% 18.0%
Charles Skoda 9.1% 7.2% 8.6% 12.6% 10.6% 9.6% 10.5% 10.5% 7.4% 5.8% 4.4% 2.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Justin Tedeschi 2.0% 1.8% 2.4% 3.0% 4.1% 3.5% 5.3% 7.6% 9.7% 10.2% 11.8% 15.1% 12.8% 10.7%
Graham Roeber 4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 4.6% 6.7% 7.2% 8.4% 9.7% 11.9% 10.7% 11.2% 8.8% 5.7% 2.1%
Christopher Mannka 0.6% 0.7% 1.4% 1.6% 1.5% 2.3% 1.8% 2.9% 4.1% 6.8% 8.1% 11.1% 19.8% 37.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.