Race 6B

salt-pond-invite

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Zachary Vickerson 11.2% 10.7% 12.7% 11.4% 9.9% 12.8% 9.2% 6.8% 6.0% 4.2% 2.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.3%
Sam Rush 17.2% 17.9% 15.0% 13.6% 10.9% 8.9% 6.6% 4.0% 3.4% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Connor Oursler 12.3% 10.1% 13.3% 10.0% 12.9% 9.6% 9.7% 8.3% 7.0% 4.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Ian Campbell 2.5% 3.0% 2.7% 5.1% 4.5% 5.4% 8.4% 8.1% 8.4% 12.8% 12.0% 12.3% 9.8% 5.0%
Marina Cano 10.8% 14.2% 12.9% 13.1% 11.8% 9.7% 8.2% 7.8% 5.5% 2.8% 1.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Benjamin Craig 18.2% 13.7% 15.6% 13.2% 12.4% 9.1% 6.7% 5.1% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Graham Roeber 4.3% 4.7% 5.1% 7.0% 6.0% 5.9% 7.7% 11.5% 9.4% 11.7% 11.5% 8.5% 5.1% 1.6%
Charles Skoda 9.3% 10.8% 7.7% 9.8% 9.6% 12.3% 10.6% 8.0% 7.6% 6.2% 5.0% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1%
Justin Tedeschi 2.7% 2.4% 2.4% 2.0% 2.8% 4.9% 3.6% 6.5% 9.2% 10.8% 15.4% 12.0% 15.7% 9.6%
Francis Guiton 3.4% 2.6% 3.2% 3.4% 4.5% 7.2% 7.5% 8.5% 10.5% 11.4% 12.0% 13.0% 8.3% 4.5%
Abe Kipnis 0.8% 2.7% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 3.4% 4.3% 5.7% 7.4% 8.6% 11.1% 15.5% 18.7% 17.0%
Caden Buckley 4.7% 4.5% 6.0% 6.9% 8.5% 6.9% 11.1% 11.0% 11.3% 9.6% 8.6% 5.6% 3.5% 1.8%
Ryan Carlucci 1.9% 1.7% 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 2.1% 4.3% 5.1% 6.2% 8.2% 10.9% 13.7% 18.1% 22.6%
Christopher Mannka 0.7% 1.0% 0.9% 1.2% 2.0% 1.8% 2.1% 3.6% 4.8% 6.7% 6.0% 12.8% 18.9% 37.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.