Race 7B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

38.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Croteau 11.9% 11.4% 12.4% 9.8% 13.0% 10.8% 9.7% 9.0% 5.2% 3.2% 2.8% 0.7% 0.1%
Benjamin Craig 21.2% 18.7% 14.4% 14.9% 10.0% 8.1% 6.3% 3.8% 0.8% 1.3% 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Connor Oursler 12.3% 13.1% 12.9% 13.7% 10.9% 11.0% 9.5% 7.4% 4.7% 2.4% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Ian Campbell 2.5% 3.6% 3.9% 5.3% 7.1% 5.6% 8.5% 9.8% 10.9% 9.6% 14.7% 10.7% 7.8%
Christopher Mannka 0.9% 1.4% 2.5% 1.4% 1.4% 2.7% 2.6% 3.8% 4.9% 8.1% 8.4% 19.2% 42.7%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 13.3% 12.0% 11.5% 13.3% 10.6% 11.3% 8.3% 7.3% 6.4% 3.2% 1.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Caden Buckley 7.0% 5.4% 8.2% 6.9% 8.5% 9.8% 11.1% 8.9% 13.0% 8.3% 6.9% 4.5% 1.5%
Brian Daley 4.1% 5.4% 4.7% 4.3% 6.0% 9.2% 8.4% 11.6% 13.1% 10.7% 10.1% 8.9% 3.5%
Abe Kipnis 1.8% 2.4% 2.4% 2.7% 3.7% 3.9% 4.0% 5.0% 6.3% 11.9% 15.1% 18.5% 22.3%
Marina Cano 16.6% 14.5% 16.0% 11.6% 10.1% 8.7% 8.8% 5.5% 4.3% 1.9% 1.8% 0.1% 0.1%
Justin Tedeschi 2.5% 2.1% 3.1% 4.4% 4.9% 4.7% 6.8% 7.6% 11.1% 13.3% 12.8% 15.4% 11.3%
Francis Guiton 2.6% 4.4% 2.7% 6.1% 6.9% 6.6% 6.6% 9.7% 8.4% 14.5% 12.9% 12.5% 6.1%
Graham Roeber 3.3% 5.6% 5.3% 5.6% 6.9% 7.6% 9.4% 10.6% 10.9% 11.6% 11.2% 8.0% 4.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.