Race 8B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Emily Croteau 11.7% 10.7% 12.3% 12.6% 9.4% 11.8% 10.0% 7.7% 6.3% 3.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2%
Connor Oursler 12.2% 13.6% 14.6% 10.6% 12.9% 11.7% 7.7% 6.8% 5.4% 2.1% 1.7% 0.6% 0.1%
Benjamin Craig 21.7% 18.0% 14.0% 12.5% 12.5% 8.1% 6.0% 3.7% 2.2% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Marina Cano 14.3% 15.1% 14.4% 14.5% 11.3% 10.6% 7.3% 5.5% 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
Caden Buckley 6.4% 6.9% 7.1% 9.5% 7.2% 9.5% 9.7% 10.6% 9.6% 9.5% 8.4% 4.6% 1.0%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 12.6% 13.8% 12.4% 11.6% 13.4% 7.7% 8.4% 8.3% 5.2% 4.0% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Brian Daley 5.6% 3.3% 6.3% 6.4% 6.6% 6.0% 9.2% 10.1% 12.5% 10.7% 10.4% 9.6% 3.3%
Justin Tedeschi 2.2% 3.8% 2.9% 3.1% 3.6% 5.5% 6.4% 6.4% 10.7% 12.8% 13.7% 16.3% 12.6%
Francis Guiton 3.7% 3.2% 4.1% 5.5% 5.1% 8.0% 7.2% 8.9% 11.8% 11.8% 12.4% 12.1% 6.2%
Ian Campbell 4.0% 3.8% 4.2% 4.1% 5.4% 7.1% 8.5% 9.8% 10.7% 11.4% 12.9% 10.1% 8.0%
Christopher Mannka 1.0% 0.9% 0.7% 1.4% 2.3% 2.6% 2.9% 4.3% 5.5% 8.0% 10.6% 17.1% 42.7%
Abe Kipnis 1.2% 1.9% 1.9% 2.7% 3.4% 3.6% 5.8% 6.6% 7.0% 11.1% 12.6% 19.5% 22.7%
Graham Roeber 3.4% 5.0% 5.1% 5.5% 6.9% 7.8% 10.9% 11.3% 9.8% 12.0% 10.9% 8.4% 3.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.