← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Hawaii3.36+1.24vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.08+0.52vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California2.57+0.17vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Los Angeles1.72+0.30vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Berkeley1.01+0.13vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Irvine2.22-2.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.24University of Hawaii3.360.3%1st Place
-
2.52Stanford University3.080.3%1st Place
-
3.17University of Southern California2.570.2%1st Place
-
4.3University of California at Los Angeles1.720.1%1st Place
-
5.13University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
-
3.64University of California at Irvine2.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 34.7% | 29.8% | 19.6% | 10.0% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Eliza Richartz | 30.2% | 24.2% | 20.5% | 15.7% | 7.2% | 2.2% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 15.8% | 18.9% | 21.9% | 23.3% | 16.2% | 3.9% |
| Carmen Bozina | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 18.8% | 30.0% | 24.2% |
| Lauren Amery | 2.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 10.1% | 18.0% | 58.8% |
| Ashley Hobson | 11.2% | 12.5% | 20.6% | 22.1% | 24.1% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.