Race 9B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Marina Cano 15.9% 14.6% 13.8% 12.2% 12.2% 10.6% 7.5% 5.5% 4.2% 2.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Emily Croteau 11.6% 11.2% 11.5% 12.5% 12.4% 9.1% 10.1% 8.5% 7.0% 3.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.3%
Caden Buckley 4.9% 5.4% 8.5% 6.6% 9.2% 10.2% 9.1% 10.9% 11.4% 9.7% 7.7% 4.5% 1.9%
Francis Guiton 3.0% 3.5% 5.5% 4.6% 5.9% 6.3% 9.1% 10.6% 9.5% 12.2% 12.7% 11.5% 5.6%
Benjamin Craig 21.1% 20.1% 14.4% 13.3% 9.4% 10.1% 4.6% 3.5% 1.9% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 13.1% 13.1% 12.4% 11.8% 10.7% 11.0% 9.9% 6.4% 5.2% 4.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.2%
Ian Campbell 4.1% 4.2% 3.4% 5.8% 6.5% 5.8% 7.0% 9.8% 10.6% 11.9% 14.6% 10.0% 6.3%
Christopher Mannka 0.8% 1.3% 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 2.6% 3.8% 4.6% 7.6% 10.5% 16.1% 45.3%
Graham Roeber 4.8% 4.6% 4.8% 6.3% 8.0% 7.1% 10.3% 10.5% 11.4% 9.1% 9.7% 9.8% 3.6%
Connor Oursler 13.8% 13.1% 13.7% 13.9% 9.6% 8.4% 10.9% 6.1% 5.1% 3.0% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Abe Kipnis 1.9% 1.5% 2.2% 2.8% 3.5% 5.2% 5.5% 6.1% 8.5% 12.6% 12.7% 19.5% 18.0%
Justin Tedeschi 1.8% 3.4% 2.1% 3.4% 4.3% 5.1% 5.7% 8.0% 9.0% 10.8% 14.7% 17.0% 14.7%
Brian Daley 3.2% 4.0% 6.1% 5.1% 6.4% 8.9% 7.7% 10.3% 11.6% 12.6% 10.3% 9.9% 3.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.