Race 10B

salt-pond-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Benjamin Craig 20.3% 18.4% 17.4% 12.0% 10.9% 8.0% 5.6% 3.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Emily Croteau 10.2% 13.3% 12.7% 11.6% 11.0% 9.8% 9.0% 9.9% 5.8% 3.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2%
Ian Campbell 2.8% 3.0% 3.6% 4.3% 6.0% 8.0% 7.7% 8.5% 11.8% 12.6% 13.9% 11.3% 6.5%
Karel Mailloux-Kuz 13.1% 10.3% 13.4% 13.3% 10.3% 10.0% 10.0% 6.2% 7.3% 3.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Connor Oursler 14.2% 14.1% 12.3% 12.1% 11.6% 11.5% 8.4% 6.9% 3.8% 3.0% 1.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Brian Daley 4.5% 4.2% 5.0% 6.3% 7.6% 6.5% 9.0% 10.8% 11.7% 12.0% 10.8% 8.5% 3.1%
Marina Cano 17.3% 14.9% 12.8% 12.8% 12.1% 9.8% 8.8% 5.9% 2.8% 1.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Christopher Mannka 0.9% 1.6% 1.0% 1.7% 2.0% 2.9% 2.8% 2.6% 5.0% 7.8% 9.3% 18.5% 43.9%
Graham Roeber 3.7% 6.1% 4.5% 5.8% 7.4% 7.3% 9.1% 10.8% 10.7% 12.6% 10.0% 8.1% 3.9%
Caden Buckley 6.7% 6.0% 6.6% 7.8% 8.7% 10.2% 9.7% 11.4% 9.6% 8.0% 8.5% 4.7% 2.1%
Francis Guiton 3.5% 3.4% 5.4% 6.7% 5.8% 6.8% 8.5% 10.5% 11.9% 11.3% 11.4% 10.2% 4.6%
Abe Kipnis 1.2% 2.3% 2.0% 2.1% 3.1% 3.8% 5.2% 6.1% 7.5% 11.0% 14.1% 18.6% 23.0%
Justin Tedeschi 1.6% 2.4% 3.3% 3.5% 3.5% 5.4% 6.2% 7.2% 9.4% 12.1% 15.0% 18.0% 12.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.