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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+6.32vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.45vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.42vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.82+2.72vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.97+4.89vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.01+4.15vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania3.16+2.35vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.47-0.15vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.13vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.90+0.19vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-3.25vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.45+0.01vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy3.63-5.53vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.80-3.05vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-6.14vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia2.39-3.62vs Predicted
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17Boston College3.48-8.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.45University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.72Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.89Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.15College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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9.35University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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7.85Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.13SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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10.19Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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7.75St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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12.01Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.95Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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12.38University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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8.09Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Kendal Richardson | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% |
| Christophe Killian | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% |
| Sean Golden | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 1.3% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Julia Lambert | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% |
| Chase Quinn | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 15.0% | 19.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.1% |
| David Larson | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 13.4% | 22.9% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.