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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+6.78vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.49vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+4.53vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.25+5.03vs Predicted
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5University of Virginia2.39+7.14vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48+2.17vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+1.92vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.70vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-2.20vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.80+0.62vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.01-0.90vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.97-1.89vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.90-2.45vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania3.16-4.50vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-6.65vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.61-8.51vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.45-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.49University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.53St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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9.03SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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12.14University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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8.17Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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8.92Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.3U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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6.8Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.62Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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10.1College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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10.11Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.55Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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9.5University of Pennsylvania3.160.1%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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12.12Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Chase Quinn | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 12.9% | 21.7% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| David Larson | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.5% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 8.9% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 7.3% |
| Kendal Richardson | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% |
| Julia Lambert | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 10.2% |
| Jack Swikart | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 14.7% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.