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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+6.48vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+4.24vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.84+3.25vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.61+3.28vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+2.24vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.48+1.67vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.80+3.22vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.16vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.97+0.54vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.01-0.48vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College3.25-2.53vs Predicted
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12Washington College2.45-0.66vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-4.64vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-4.33vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy3.63-7.89vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia2.39-4.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.24Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.25University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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7.67Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.22Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.84U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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9.54Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.52College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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8.47SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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11.34Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.67Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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7.11U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.77University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Harry Koeppel | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 10.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% |
| Kendal Richardson | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 9.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 14.4% | 21.3% |
| David Larson | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 14.2% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.