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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.25+7.32vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+4.27vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.97+6.56vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.80+6.31vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.61+2.18vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.01+3.49vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+0.33vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.47-0.52vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.90+0.76vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.91vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.45+0.32vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-3.99vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-4.63vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.84-7.88vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.48-7.30vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia2.39-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.32SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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6.27Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.56Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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10.31Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.18Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.49College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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7.33St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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7.48Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.76Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.32Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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6.12University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.7Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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11.69University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hill | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Kendal Richardson | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 12.1% | 11.8% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Christophe Killian | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% |
| Chase Quinn | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Sean Golden | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 22.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.2% |
| David Larson | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 15.2% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.