← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University3.82+5.22vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.47+5.53vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.48+4.59vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University2.97+5.71vs Predicted
-
5Stanford University2.90+4.85vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island3.84+0.34vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College3.25+1.60vs Predicted
-
8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-0.97vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.01+0.33vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.96vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College3.61-3.91vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-3.60vs Predicted
-
13Washington College2.45-1.64vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Naval Academy3.63-7.11vs Predicted
-
15Eckerd College2.80-4.72vs Predicted
-
16University of Virginia2.39-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.22Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
7.53Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
-
7.59Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.71Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
-
9.85Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
-
6.34University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
8.6SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
-
7.03St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
-
9.33College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
-
8.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
7.09Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
-
8.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
-
11.36Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
-
6.89U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
10.28Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
-
11.74University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 9.9% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Sean Golden | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.4% |
| Julia Lambert | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 8.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Chase Quinn | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.7% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| David Larson | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.6% | 19.8% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.6% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 10.4% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 13.7% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.