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📊 Prediction Accuracy
12.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University3.82+5.18vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.47+5.53vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College3.25+5.51vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+2.46vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+2.19vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.52vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.01+2.51vs Predicted
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8Boston College3.48-0.53vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.05vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.61-2.80vs Predicted
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11Washington College2.45+0.35vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.97-2.47vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.90-3.23vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.80-3.93vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia2.39-3.26vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-7.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.18Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.53Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.51SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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6.46University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.19St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.0%1st Place
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9.51College of Charleston3.010.1%1st Place
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7.47Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.2Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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11.35Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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9.53Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.77Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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10.07Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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11.74University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Esteban Forrer | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Sean Golden | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| David Larson | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Christophe Killian | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.7% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 21.7% |
| Kendal Richardson | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.2% |
| Julia Lambert | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 9.2% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 23.4% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.