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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Saint Thomas0.88+5.61vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.27+3.37vs Predicted
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3Indiana University1.19+2.90vs Predicted
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4University of Michigan1.64+0.11vs Predicted
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5Hope College-0.57+5.55vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.61-2.03vs Predicted
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7Marquette University1.26-2.01vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.31+0.13vs Predicted
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9Purdue University-0.49-0.53vs Predicted
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10Ohio State University0.65-3.18vs Predicted
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11Michigan Technological University0.96-4.25vs Predicted
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12Grand Valley State University-0.85-1.53vs Predicted
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13Western Michigan University-1.73-0.66vs Predicted
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14Washington University-0.80-3.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61University of Saint Thomas0.885.9%1st Place
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5.37Northwestern University1.2710.4%1st Place
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5.9Indiana University1.198.8%1st Place
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4.11University of Michigan1.6418.6%1st Place
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10.55Hope College-0.571.2%1st Place
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3.97University of Notre Dame1.6119.1%1st Place
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4.99Marquette University1.2611.8%1st Place
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8.13University of Wisconsin0.314.2%1st Place
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8.47Purdue University-0.493.2%1st Place
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6.82Ohio State University0.657.2%1st Place
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6.75Michigan Technological University0.965.8%1st Place
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10.47Grand Valley State University-0.851.6%1st Place
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12.34Western Michigan University-1.730.7%1st Place
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10.52Washington University-0.801.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Bittle | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Jake Weinstein | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nithya Balachander | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Braden Vogel | 18.6% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 21.4% | 15.2% |
| Timothy Hesse | 19.1% | 16.8% | 14.8% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Brieden | 11.8% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Nok In Chan | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 6.9% | 2.5% |
| Mason Shaw | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Michels | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 17.7% | 19.2% | 14.1% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 20.1% | 49.1% |
| Jacob Hsia | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 16.6% | 19.1% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.