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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.47+6.48vs Predicted
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2Washington College2.45+9.34vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.61+4.13vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+4.57vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+1.32vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+1.26vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.01+2.53vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.82-1.81vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.63-2.05vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.48-2.37vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.97-1.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-4.02vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.80-2.86vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.25-5.72vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.90-5.08vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia2.39-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.48Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.34Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.13Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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8.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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6.32University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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9.53College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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6.19Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.63Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.55Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.98U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.14Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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8.28SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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9.92Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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11.73University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Golden | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 21.4% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| David Larson | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Kendal Richardson | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 7.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.7% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 22.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.