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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+6.03vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University3.82+4.22vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.48+4.57vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.47+3.79vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.90+4.84vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84+0.34vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.97+2.65vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.10vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.01+0.37vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.80+0.28vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-3.82vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia2.39-0.44vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-5.06vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College3.25-5.70vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-6.49vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.45-4.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.22Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.57Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.79Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.84Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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6.34University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.65Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.37College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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10.28Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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11.56University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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7.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.3SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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8.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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11.53Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Sean Golden | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% |
| Julia Lambert | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.5% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Kendal Richardson | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.6% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% |
| Chase Quinn | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 24.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% |
| David Larson | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.