← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60+6.01vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.85vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University3.82+3.32vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston3.01+5.59vs Predicted
-
5SUNY Maritime College3.25+3.54vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+2.45vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.90+2.89vs Predicted
-
8Eckerd College2.80+2.03vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.61-1.93vs Predicted
-
10Washington College2.45+1.56vs Predicted
-
11Roger Williams University2.97-1.43vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island3.84-5.68vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Naval Academy3.63-6.01vs Predicted
-
14University of Virginia2.39-2.51vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.48-7.32vs Predicted
-
16Georgetown University3.47-8.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.01St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
-
7.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
6.32Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
-
9.59College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
-
8.54SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
-
8.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
-
9.89Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
-
10.03Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
-
7.07Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
-
11.56Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
-
9.57Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
-
6.32University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
6.99U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
11.49University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
-
7.68Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
-
7.64Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Quinn | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Christophe Killian | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.6% |
| David Larson | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 13.0% | 21.8% |
| Kendal Richardson | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.9% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 21.8% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Sean Golden | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.