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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.97+8.16vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.01+7.10vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+5.17vs Predicted
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4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.89vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+1.09vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.61+0.97vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.82-0.70vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.47-0.70vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.25-0.82vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.90-0.28vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-4.07vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.80-2.04vs Predicted
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13Boston College2.59-2.28vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.63-7.34vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.45-3.67vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia2.39-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.16Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.1College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.97Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.3Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.3Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.18SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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9.72Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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6.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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9.96Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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10.72Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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6.66U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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11.33Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendal Richardson | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% |
| Christophe Killian | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% |
| David Larson | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Sean Golden | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% |
| Chase Quinn | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.4% |
| Jacob Martz | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.0% | 14.5% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 16.1% | 17.5% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.