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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+5.77vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+5.65vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+3.14vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.01+5.36vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.47+2.49vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.97+3.38vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.25+1.38vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+0.04vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.80+0.84vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-3.00vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.90-1.42vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.84-5.84vs Predicted
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13Washington College2.45-1.81vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.59-3.35vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia2.39-3.48vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.63-9.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.65U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.14Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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9.36College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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7.49Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.38Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.38SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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8.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.84Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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9.58Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.16University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.19Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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10.65Boston College2.590.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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6.85U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Esteban Forrer | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Christophe Killian | 3.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% |
| Sean Golden | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% |
| David Larson | 7.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 9.2% |
| Chase Quinn | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 10.0% | 12.4% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 18.7% |
| Jacob Martz | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 15.0% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 21.7% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.