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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.25+7.33vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.01+7.34vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.97+6.58vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.82+2.46vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.47+2.64vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.61+1.16vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.84-0.61vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-1.00vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.45+2.35vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.97vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.48-3.44vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-4.91vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-4.64vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-4.30vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.80-4.70vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia2.39-4.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.33SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.34College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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9.58Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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6.46Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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7.64Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.16Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.0St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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11.35Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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8.03U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.56Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.09U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.7Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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10.3Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Hill | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Christophe Killian | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% |
| Kendal Richardson | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Sean Golden | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Chase Quinn | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 21.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Harry Koeppel | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| David Larson | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.9% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 14.8% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.