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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+8.60vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.20vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47+4.62vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.97+5.71vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.61+2.17vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.01+3.45vs Predicted
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7Washington College2.45+4.51vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.09vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.12vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.25-1.43vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University3.82-4.61vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.80-1.83vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.60-5.87vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-5.73vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia2.39-3.20vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.48-8.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.6Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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6.2University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.71Roger Williams University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.17Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.45College of Charleston3.010.0%1st Place
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11.51Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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6.91U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.57SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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6.39Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.17Eckerd College2.800.0%1st Place
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7.13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.600.1%1st Place
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8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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11.8University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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7.63Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 11.0% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Sean Golden | 8.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Kendal Richardson | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Christophe Killian | 3.8% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% |
| Eric Siegel | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 23.5% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% |
| Chase Quinn | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| David Larson | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 23.2% |
| Harry Koeppel | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.