Race 3A

mcsa-open-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Timothy Hesse 19.1% 14.6% 13.7% 14.2% 10.1% 10.5% 7.0% 4.5% 3.8% 1.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Greg Bittle 7.3% 6.6% 7.0% 7.6% 10.1% 9.2% 10.2% 10.1% 9.2% 8.9% 8.0% 3.8% 1.9% 0.1%
Jacqueline Ruggieri 3.1% 3.8% 4.5% 5.1% 6.2% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.8% 11.8% 11.9% 10.6% 6.2% 2.0%
Braden Vogel 18.7% 16.1% 14.8% 12.0% 10.2% 9.5% 6.2% 5.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Jake Weinstein 9.7% 11.8% 10.4% 12.1% 10.5% 9.5% 10.2% 8.6% 6.2% 5.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Nithya Balachander 7.5% 9.2% 10.4% 8.2% 9.6% 10.4% 10.2% 9.2% 9.2% 8.3% 3.9% 2.7% 1.2% 0.1%
Andrew Michels 6.2% 7.1% 7.5% 7.6% 8.1% 8.6% 8.0% 10.3% 11.1% 9.7% 7.5% 5.3% 2.4% 0.7%
Jack Rutherford 1.9% 1.9% 2.4% 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% 3.2% 4.5% 6.0% 7.9% 11.2% 17.5% 21.2% 14.8%
Mason Shaw 6.9% 7.0% 7.6% 7.8% 9.2% 8.2% 10.1% 9.6% 9.9% 8.5% 7.2% 5.3% 2.5% 0.4%
Nok In Chan 4.0% 4.4% 4.5% 4.9% 5.5% 6.1% 7.2% 8.6% 8.9% 11.8% 13.6% 11.2% 6.6% 2.6%
Eric Brieden 11.6% 12.3% 11.6% 11.9% 12.1% 9.3% 9.6% 7.3% 5.9% 4.7% 2.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Carly Irwin 1.7% 2.1% 2.1% 2.5% 3.1% 4.0% 4.7% 4.5% 6.5% 7.5% 10.8% 14.8% 21.4% 14.1%
Jacob Hsia 1.6% 2.1% 2.7% 2.8% 2.5% 3.4% 3.9% 5.2% 5.9% 8.7% 11.1% 16.2% 19.6% 14.2%
Keegan Aerts 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 1.1% 0.7% 1.3% 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 3.9% 7.0% 9.7% 16.2% 50.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.