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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.34vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.12+0.47vs Predicted
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3University of California at Irvine2.34+0.36vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04-1.42vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley1.18-0.25vs Predicted
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6California State University Monterey Bay0.19-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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2.47University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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3.36University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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2.58University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
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5.51California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 30.7% | 28.8% | 22.2% | 13.8% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Emily Dahl | 28.2% | 25.8% | 23.9% | 15.8% | 5.6% | 0.7% |
| Blair Johnston | 13.3% | 14.0% | 18.7% | 33.4% | 18.1% | 2.5% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 24.1% | 25.0% | 26.1% | 19.2% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Megan Hayes | 2.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 12.8% | 46.7% | 26.3% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 21.2% | 68.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.