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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.84+4.81vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+4.36vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38+4.61vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.95+5.33vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.03vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.51+1.33vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.70+3.29vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.67-1.56vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.19-0.46vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.80-0.20vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.69-0.57vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-2.21vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.62-2.29vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.92-4.34vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia1.70-1.34vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.17-7.58vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.01-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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6.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.33University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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6.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.33Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.29Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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6.44Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.54Boston College3.190.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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10.43SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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10.71Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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9.66Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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13.66University of Virginia1.700.0%1st Place
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8.42U. S. Naval Academy3.170.0%1st Place
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12.78Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cusick | 12.8% | 12.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 12.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 4.9% |
| Augie Dale | 11.3% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 3.9% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% |
| Maeve White | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Rodman Brown | 0.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 15.2% | 35.1% |
| Michael Madigan | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.