← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+5.26vs Predicted
-
2Eckerd College2.70+8.24vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University3.67+3.54vs Predicted
-
4Boston College3.19+4.38vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island2.95+4.11vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.84+0.07vs Predicted
-
7SUNY Maritime College2.69+3.32vs Predicted
-
8University of Virginia1.70+5.47vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.05vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University3.51-2.98vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Naval Academy3.17-2.38vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-5.81vs Predicted
-
13University of Pennsylvania2.80-2.94vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University2.62-3.24vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.38-7.44vs Predicted
-
16Stanford University2.92-6.49vs Predicted
-
17Washington College2.01-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.26St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
-
10.24Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
-
6.54Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
-
8.38Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
-
9.11University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
-
6.07College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
-
10.32SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
-
13.47University of Virginia1.700.0%1st Place
-
10.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
-
7.02Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
8.62U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
-
6.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
10.06University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
-
10.76Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
-
7.56Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
-
9.51Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
-
12.85Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Adam | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% |
| Augie Dale | 10.1% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.8% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% |
| Jack Cusick | 10.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.3% |
| Rodman Brown | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 15.8% | 34.8% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 3.8% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Michael Madigan | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 6.5% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Maeve White | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 24.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.