← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+8.57vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+4.36vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.51+4.13vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.70+6.34vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.84+0.82vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University3.67+0.67vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.38+0.61vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92+1.27vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.80+1.09vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-3.88vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.62-0.25vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia1.70+1.68vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.19-4.53vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.17-5.43vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.69-4.71vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.01-3.16vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-7.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.57U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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6.36St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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7.13Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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10.34Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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5.82College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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6.67Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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7.61Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.27Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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10.09University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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6.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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10.75Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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13.68University of Virginia1.700.0%1st Place
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8.47Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.57U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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10.29SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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12.84Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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9.4University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Neubelt | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Bradley Adam | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% |
| Jack Cusick | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Augie Dale | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Maeve White | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 8.3% |
| Rodman Brown | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 15.6% | 36.6% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 21.8% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.