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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Eckerd College2.70+8.90vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+7.58vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.51+3.97vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.16vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.24vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.19+2.41vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.92+2.30vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.80+1.55vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.70+4.80vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.67-3.70vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.17-2.54vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.62-1.56vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.38-5.41vs Predicted
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14Washington College2.01-1.28vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.05-2.57vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.84-10.14vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.95-7.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.9Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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9.58U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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6.97Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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6.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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8.41Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.3Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.55University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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13.8University of Virginia1.700.0%1st Place
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6.3Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.46U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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10.44Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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7.59Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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12.72Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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12.43SUNY Maritime College2.050.0%1st Place
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5.86College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timothy Siemers | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Bradley Adam | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Maeve White | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% |
| Rodman Brown | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 34.3% |
| Augie Dale | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Michael Madigan | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 16.6% | 20.8% |
| Juan Lejarraga | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 18.4% |
| Jack Cusick | 9.2% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.