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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.84+4.75vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.69+8.25vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38+4.59vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+2.57vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University2.62+5.41vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.51+1.26vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.19+1.37vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-1.65vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+1.02vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.70+0.17vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.92-1.45vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.17-3.62vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.80-2.93vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.95-4.56vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-8.82vs Predicted
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16Washington College2.01-3.14vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia1.70-3.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.75College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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10.25SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.59Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.57Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.41Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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7.26Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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8.37Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.35St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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10.02U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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10.17Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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9.55Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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6.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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12.86Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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13.78University of Virginia1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cusick | 13.4% | 12.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 5.4% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Augie Dale | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Bradley Adam | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Maeve White | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 2.7% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 18.8% | 20.9% |
| Rodman Brown | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 13.7% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.