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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.51+5.97vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.17+6.39vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.80+6.88vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.70+6.29vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University3.67+1.38vs Predicted
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6University of Virginia1.70+7.89vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.69+3.28vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.92+1.26vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.84-2.93vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-3.66vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.62-0.25vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-5.76vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.19-4.48vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82-4.05vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.38-7.37vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.95-6.66vs Predicted
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17Washington College2.01-4.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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9.88University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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10.29Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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6.38Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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13.89University of Virginia1.700.0%1st Place
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10.28SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.26Stanford University2.920.1%1st Place
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6.07College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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6.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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10.75Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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6.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.52Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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7.63Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island2.950.0%1st Place
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12.83Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Michael Madigan | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% |
| Timothy Siemers | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% |
| Augie Dale | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Rodman Brown | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 16.7% | 36.5% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Maeve White | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.2% |
| Jack Cusick | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Bradley Adam | 9.6% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 7.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| Max Neubelt | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
| Robert Floyd | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.