← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northwestern University1.27+4.46vs Predicted
-
2University of Notre Dame1.61+2.13vs Predicted
-
3University of Michigan1.64+1.11vs Predicted
-
4University of Wisconsin0.31+4.10vs Predicted
-
5Purdue University-0.49+3.36vs Predicted
-
6University of Saint Thomas0.88+0.56vs Predicted
-
7Michigan Technological University0.96-0.26vs Predicted
-
8Grand Valley State University-0.85+2.39vs Predicted
-
9Marquette University1.26-4.04vs Predicted
-
10Ohio State University0.65-3.28vs Predicted
-
11Hope College-0.57-0.49vs Predicted
-
12Indiana University1.19-6.00vs Predicted
-
13Washington University-0.80-2.42vs Predicted
-
14Western Michigan University-1.73-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.46Northwestern University1.2711.2%1st Place
-
4.13University of Notre Dame1.6116.5%1st Place
-
4.11University of Michigan1.6418.5%1st Place
-
8.1University of Wisconsin0.314.2%1st Place
-
8.36Purdue University-0.494.7%1st Place
-
6.56University of Saint Thomas0.887.1%1st Place
-
6.74Michigan Technological University0.966.1%1st Place
-
10.39Grand Valley State University-0.851.9%1st Place
-
4.96Marquette University1.2611.6%1st Place
-
6.72Ohio State University0.656.8%1st Place
-
10.51Hope College-0.571.6%1st Place
-
6.0Indiana University1.197.6%1st Place
-
10.58Washington University-0.801.8%1st Place
-
12.38Western Michigan University-1.730.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Weinstein | 11.2% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Timothy Hesse | 16.5% | 16.4% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Braden Vogel | 18.5% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Jacqueline Ruggieri | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 6.3% | 2.1% |
| Nok In Chan | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
| Greg Bittle | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Michels | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Carly Irwin | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 18.8% | 14.0% |
| Eric Brieden | 11.6% | 13.8% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mason Shaw | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Jack Rutherford | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 17.7% | 20.4% | 14.0% |
| Nithya Balachander | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Jacob Hsia | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 22.1% | 14.8% |
| Keegan Aerts | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 50.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.