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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.27+1.33vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California3.12+0.47vs Predicted
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3California State University Monterey Bay0.19+2.45vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii3.04-1.42vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine2.34-1.53vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.18-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.33Stanford University3.270.3%1st Place
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2.47University of Southern California3.120.3%1st Place
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5.45California State University Monterey Bay0.190.0%1st Place
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2.58University of Hawaii3.040.2%1st Place
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3.47University of California at Irvine2.340.1%1st Place
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4.71University of California at Berkeley1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Mace | 31.1% | 28.2% | 22.6% | 13.2% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Emily Dahl | 28.4% | 26.5% | 22.4% | 16.1% | 6.0% | 0.6% |
| Maryan Gonnerman | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 17.9% | 69.4% |
| Madeline Kennedy | 24.6% | 24.5% | 25.7% | 19.5% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Blair Johnston | 11.1% | 14.4% | 20.6% | 28.9% | 20.4% | 4.6% |
| Megan Hayes | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 16.2% | 46.5% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.