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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.38+6.33vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.06+6.73vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.82+6.70vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University3.67+2.49vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.95+3.98vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.19+2.43vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-0.71vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.80+1.56vs Predicted
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9Washington College2.01+3.88vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.17-1.85vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.84-5.05vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.92-2.71vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.62-2.32vs Predicted
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14University of Virginia1.63-0.09vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.70-4.87vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.69-5.70vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-10.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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8.73Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.820.0%1st Place
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6.49Old Dominion University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Rhode Island2.950.1%1st Place
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8.43Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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9.56University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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12.88Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
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8.15U. S. Naval Academy3.170.1%1st Place
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5.95College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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9.29Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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10.68Roger Williams University2.620.0%1st Place
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13.91University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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10.13Eckerd College2.700.0%1st Place
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10.3SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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6.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Floyd | 9.2% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Roger Dorr | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% |
| Max Neubelt | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 4.6% |
| Augie Dale | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Coughlin | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Bradley Adam | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.8% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 22.7% |
| Michael Madigan | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Jack Cusick | 13.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Maeve White | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 7.4% |
| Alexander Singh | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 15.8% | 38.3% |
| Timothy Siemers | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.4% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.7% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.